Can a ballistic missile reach your home?

Missile reach

• Geographic upper-bound method: the shortest great-circle distance to a modeled territory is compared with a published maximum missile range. The map uses one illustrative nearest territory point, not a verified launch location. Actual road-mobile deployment, terrain, payload and trajectories are not modeled. The territory polygons include Kaliningrad and Russian-occupied Crimea; the Oreshnik entry also includes Belarus.
• Only selected land-based ballistic missile types listed as operational in the CSIS country tables are included. Some individual missile entries differ from the country-table status (the Sejjil entry, for example, says “Uncertain”). The current display is not exhaustive and omits silo-only, sea-launched, air-launched and cruise missiles. The source’s status labels are not real-time readiness assessments.
• Ranges, payloads, warheads and status: Missile Defense Project, Missile Threat, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Country pages: “Missiles of Russia” (last modified 9 January 2026), “Missiles of China” (18 March 2026), “Missiles of North Korea” (15 January 2026), “Missiles of Iran” (17 June 2026). Each missile card names its own CSIS page.
• Territory boundaries: Natural Earth 1:50 million admin-0 boundaries. These are geographic reference polygons, not verified military basing areas.

Nuclear warhead

• The air-burst mode displays simplified blast, heat and initial-radiation reference contours, interpolated from S. Glasstone and P. J. Dolan (eds.), The Effects of Nuclear Weapons, 3rd edition, U.S. Department of Defense and Energy Research and Development Administration, 1977. It does not model building-specific shielding or terrain.
• The separate surface-burst mode displays an idealized fallout plume from the same book: Table 9.93 for contour size, §9.94 for fission yield, §9.97 for wind speed and §9.23 for the total unsheltered dose. We assume 100% fission yield up to 50 kilotons and 50% above that. It assumes open, level ground and steady wind; it does not display the local blast or thermal effects of that burst.
• Example yields: RS-24 Yars warheads, 150–200 kilotons each, and SS-18 Mod 6 warheads, 500–750 kilotons each (CSIS Missile Threat).

Chemical warhead

• Warning area from the NATO ATP-45 template for non-persistent agents delivered by missiles, bombs or rockets: a 10 km circle when the wind is 10 km/h or less; above 10 km/h, a downwind triangle reaching 15 km in unstable air and 50 km in stable air. Source: N. Platt and L. Jones, Institute for Defense Analyses, “Potential use of transport and dispersion model output to supplement ATP-45 hazard prediction templates”, 13th HARMO Conference, Paris, June 2010.
• Triangle construction and the earliest-arrival rule (distance divided by twice the wind speed): FM 3-7, NBC Field Handbook, Headquarters, Department of the Army, 29 September 1994, chapters 2 and 5.

Biological warhead

• Simplified biological downwind hazard prediction, FM 3-7, NBC Field Handbook, chapter 5: maximum downwind hazard distance = 4 × wind speed (km/h) × cloud duration (8 hours by day; hours until dawn plus 2 by night, up to 8). Zone I covers the first quarter of that distance.

Conventional warhead

• Shown as reference stand-off distances, not predicted explosion damage or evacuation orders: CISA Office for Bombing Prevention and FBI Counter-IED Unit, Bomb Threat Stand-Off Card, August 2025. The closest rows are 1,000 lb and 4,000 lb, respectively. Missile-specific blast physics are not modeled in this tab.

Maps and search

• Street map © OpenStreetMap contributors. Place search by Nominatim (OpenStreetMap Foundation). Searching sends the entered location to that service; using browser location can send approximate coordinates for place-name lookup. Location is held only in this page session by this script.